With Week Zero looming in a couple months, college football chatter is beginning to heat up. One of the most intriguing futures markets that always garners a ton of preseason talk is the Heisman Trophy odds, and there is no shortage of intriguing bets for the 2022 award.
Last season, Alabama sophomore Bryce Young took home Heisman honors after leading the Crimson Tide back to the College Football Playoff. Can Young become the first player since Archie Griffin in 1974-75 to repeat, or are there other players worth wagering on at this stage in the offseason?
Below, we’ll break down a couple of favorites, sleepers, and long shots who provide betting value and could take home the Heisman in 2023.
Heisman Trophy odds 2022
All odds courtesy of Vegas Insider
Heisman Trophy odds 2022: Favorites
C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State +200 (implied probability 33.33 percent)
After an impressive freshman season that saw the 6-3 signal-caller throw for 4,435 yards with an elite 44:6 TD-to-INT ratio, Stroud is the deserved odds-on favorite. He entered last season at +1400 prior to taking a snap for the Buckeyes and now sits at +200 in year two.
Stroud got the invitation to New York in 2021 but finished fourth in the voting behind Bryce Young, Aidan Hutchinson, and Kenny Pickett. Expect another dominant season from the Ohio State QB in a year where the Buckeyes look to return to the College Football Playoff.
Stroud gets a chance to put the nation back on notice in Ohio State’s Week 1 home contest against Notre Dame (7:30 p.m. ET). The Buckeyes are north of a two-touchdown favorite, as Ohio State’s star-studded receiving corps figures to create a good deal of separation on Notre Dame’s secondary. Stroud could be in line for a massive Week 1 output on national TV.
It’s tough to bet on him at +200 considering he doesn’t pose a threat in the running game (32 ATT, -20 YDS in 2021) but if he stays healthy, he’ll more than likely be back in New York for a second straight year.
Bryce Young, QB, Alabama +350 (implied probability 22.22 percent)
Young is well equipped to earn his second-straight Heisman, as the Crimson Tide arguably has a better supporting cast of skill positions players than it did a season ago.
Young’s two most notable performances — his come-from-behind win over Auburn in the Iron Bowl and his legendary performance against Georgia in the SEC championship game — helped him dominate the voting process last season.
Young finished his Heisman campaign second in the nation in passing yards (4,872) and TDs (47) and was the main catalyst behind the Crimson Tide’s appearance in the National Championship game.
Young entered last season around +900 to hoist the Heisman but is now just +350. He’ll be compared to himself, which is always an unfair standard to be held to (see Jackson, Lamar), but Young has more than enough opportunities to showcase his elite skill set with Alabama (+200) as the odds-on favorite to win the 2023 National Title.
If you think the Crimson Tide claim their second title in three seasons, a bet on Young to repeat is worth a look.
Heisman Trophy odds 2022: Sleepers
Sam Hartman, QB, Wake Forest +3000 (implied probability 3.23 percent)
Hartman, a fifth-year senior, has the makings of a potential Heisman sleeper given he’s coming off an uber-effective 2021-22 season. Wake Forest surprised many a season ago, notching its second-ever appearance in the ACC title game and ending the season with an 11-3 overall record.
Hartman finished his fourth year with 4,228 yards (seventh in NCAA) and 39 TDS (fifth in NCAA), with his best game coming against Army on Oct. 23. In Wake’s 70-56 win, Hartman threw for 458 yards on 23-of-29 passing and racked up six total scores (five passing, one rushing). Wake’s RPO-centric offense allows for Hartman to put up monster stats.
Relative to the other Power Five conferences, the ACC is wide open, giving Hartman a chance to join the Heisman conversation. If the Demon Deacons return to Charlotte and get some one-score game luck, Hartman could very well be seated in New York. Take a shot on Sam at +3000.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State +3000 (implied probability 3.23 percent)
Smith-Njigba capped off a successful freshman campaign with a memorable 15-catch, 347-yard, three-TD showing in Ohio State’s 48-45 victory over Utah in the Rose Bowl.
Despite running routes alongside 2022 first-round picks Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave, at times JSN looked like the most polished pass-catcher of the trio. The sophomore wide is poised for a breakout sophomore season catching passes from Heisman favorite C.J. Stroud. JSN’s run-after-catch ability and elite ball skills make him one of the top receivers in college football and a potential Heisman sleeper.
If Stroud were to miss time some time this season and Smith-Njigba were to continue to produce without him, he could supplant his QB as a legit Heisman hopeful if the Buckeyes return to the College Football Playoff.
Heisman Trophy odds 2022: Long shots
Mohamed Ibrahim, RB, Minnesota +8000 (implied probability 1.23 percent)
He’s a long shot for a reason, but Ibrahim is a workhorse back who gets enough volume to potentially lead the nation in rushing yards and attempts in 2022-23.
Ibrahim’s 2021-22 season was cut short after sustaining a season-ending left leg injury in the Golden Gophers’ Week 1 contest against Ohio State. Prior to the injury, Ibrahim gave Minnesota a shot to upset the Buckeyes, logging 163 rushing yards on 30 carries (5.4 YPC) while scoring two touchdowns. The Gophers’ run-heavy offense is catered toward Ibrahim’s skill set, as ‘22-23 figures to be a big year for the fifth-year ball carrier.
With Minnesota competing in the parity-filled Big Ten West division, if the Golden Gophers make it to their first Big Ten title game and secure a bid to a New Year’s Six game, Ibrahim should be among the few considered for an invitation to New York City.
Considering his odds imply he has a 1.23-percent chance to win, Ibrahim’s odds are likely to increase as the season progresses.
KJ Jefferson, QB, Arkansas +12500 (implied probability 0.79 percent)
Jefferson’s dual-threat ability makes him a slim-but-realistic long shot to win the 2023 Heisman trophy. Jefferson led Arkansas to its first bowl victory of the Sam Pittman era in the Razorbacks’ 24-10 New Year’s Day win over Penn State.
Jefferson’s top target last season, Treylon Burks, has since departed for the NFL, but ex-Oklahoma WR Jadon Haselwood is likely to emerge as Jefferson’s go-to option in the passing game. Jefferson isn’t the flashiest of guys, but at 245 pounds, he is one of the toughest QBs to consistently take down.
Jefferson profiles similar to Tim Tebow, and while the passing game has evolved from the time Tebow hoisted the Heisman back in 2007, Arkansas’ SEC slate can be enough to convince voters that he’s worthy of the most outstanding player honors.
Arkansas has a manageable 2022-23 schedule, as there’s a path to Atlanta if the Hogs can upset Alabama at home on Oct. 1. Arkansas also draws Cincinnati and BYU in the non-conference slate, giving Jefferson two more respectable defenses to carve up.
Crazier things have happened, and there is no reason some other QBs listed above Jefferson should have lower odds to win the Heisman.