It’s already Week 4 of the college football season, and while we transition into conference play, there’s still a good deal of uncertainty pertaining to how the rest of the season will shake out. Georgia sits atop the AP Top 25, as they’ve been the most dominant team in the early season, sporting an impressive +120 point differential. They haven’t just beaten up on cupcakes, already sitting at 1-0 in SEC play with a win over South Carolina along with a solid non-conference win over Oregon. While player props have yet to be released for Georgia’s Week 4 tilt against Kent State, we’ve pinpointed six player props to consider for some of the other games in Week 4 of the college football season.
Below, we break down why we like Texas WR Xavier Worthy and how he figures to be in line for a big game against Texas Tech. We also detail player props we like in Ohio State’s Big Ten opener against Wisconsin and Wake Forests’ home tilt against Clemson, among others.
MORE WEEK 4 CFB BETTING: Top 25 ATS picks
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook
Saturday’s College Football Best Bets: Advice, picks, odds, player props for Week 4
Texas WR Xavier Worthy OVER 68.5 receiving yards (-117)
Worthy’s way too talented of a wideout to see this low of a receiving yard over/under next to his name. Texas’ bona fide No. 1 pass catcher leads the Longhorns in targets (23) but has hauled in just 11 passes for 162 total yards. Worthy’s logged a 92.3-percent route participation and gets to go against a fairly leaky Texas Tech secondary that’s graded out as the 76th-best coverage unit per PFF (67.5). Now’s the time to buy low on Worthy, as there’s a chance starting QB Quinn Ewers (shoulder) returns to game action on Saturday.
Wake Forest QB Sam Hartman UNDER 294.5 passing yards (-117)
Hartman eclipsed 294.5 passing yards in Wake Forest’s most recent game against Liberty, throwing for 325 yards and three TDs in the Demon Deacons’ narrow 37-36 win. After a solid first half, Wake Forest’s offense didn’t look the same in the second, as Liberty’s defense was able to slow down Wake’s RPO-heavy offensive scheme. Now with Hartman and the Demon Deacons taking a major step up in class against fifth-ranked Clemson, expect a rougher showing from the fifth-year QB. Look for Clemson’s defense to limit Wake’s offense through the air, resulting in Hartman failing to reach 295 passing yards.
Kansas WR Lawrence Arnold OVER 33.5 receiving yards (-115)
Arnold’s been Kansas’ go-to option in the passing game, leading the team in targets (15) and receiving yards while playing 94 percent of their Jayhawks’ offensive snaps. While his aDOT sits at a fairly low 7.3, he has the ability to eclipse 33.5 receiving yards in a game with a high over/under (65.5 points). Given Kansas’ offense is expected to score their fair share of points, Arnold has the chance to haul in five-plus receptions for north of 34 receiving yards.
Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr. OVER 82.5 receiving yards (-115)
Harrison Jr.’s emerged as a reliable option in the Buckeyes’ passing game. He currently leads the Buckeyes in receiving yards (342), yards per reception (19), and TDs (5). His ability to stretch the defense out vertically can result in another big performance on Saturday night. Ohio State has a loaded receiving corps with lots of competition for targets, but Harrison Jr.’s still going to log a high route participation and his 14.7 aDOT makes his OVER 82.5 receiving yards prop enticing enough.
Oklahoma RB Eric Gray UNDER 83.5 rushing yards (-119)
Gray’s coming off an effective performance in Oklahoma’s 49-14 drubbing over Nebraska, rushing for 113 yards for two scores on 11 carries. Look for Gray to rush for fewer than 84 rushing yards against a respectable Kansas State rush defense though. Gray’s amidst a Sooners’ backfield where fellow RBs Jovante Barnes and Marcus Major play a role in the running game. Expect a lower rushing yards output from Gray this week in what should be a closer contest.
SMU QB Tanner Mordecai OVER 2.5 passing touchdowns (+126)
Mordecai lit up TCU’s defense in SMU’s 42-34 win in Fort Worth a season ago, throwing for 245 yards and four scores on 17-of-25 passing. With another high-scoring contest expected (over/under is set at 70.5 points), Mordecai’s capable of replicating that type of output through the air.