Warriors vs. Celtics: Best same-game parlay prop bets for NBA Finals Game 6

Game 6 of the 2022 NBA Finals tips off Thursday night at the TD Garden. The Warriors will be looking to seal the NBA title, and the Celtics will aim to stay alive to see Game 7. No matter what happens Thursday, we are officially in the final week of the 2021-22 NBA season, so let’s get that money and play another same-game parlay while we still can before summer break!

If you had read and followed my advice for Game 5, my bad! We came so close – we nailed our first three props: Warriors -172 moneyline, Andrew Wiggins OVER 7.5 rebounds, and Draymond Green UNDER 8.5 points. However, our last leg stumbled like Gary Payton II on a fast break. The culprit: Our lone Celtics prop – Jayson Tatum OVER 6.5 assists – didn’t hit. Tatum forced fallaway jumpers instead of passing in the fourth quarter, the Celtics had one non-garbage time assist in the final frame, and thus we lost our SGP.

As Bill Belichick would say, “It is what it is.” We will hold our heads high and assemble the next same-game parlay because one four or five-leg hit generally nets us 10-15 times the cost of a miss. Let’s green 100 percent of our Game 6 parlay and go into the weekend loving life!

All Same-Game Parlay props are from FanDuel

Celtics-Warriors NBA Finals Game 6 Same-Game Parlay of the Day

  • Alternative Spreads: Boston Celtics -1.5 (-148)
  • Points: Al Horford Over 9.5 (-102)
  • To Record 1+ Steal: Marcus Smart (-500)
  • Win Margin: Boston Celtics 1 – 10 (+175)
  • Three Pointers Made: Stephen Curry Over 4.5 (-115)
    Total Odds (5 Legs): +1114 | Bet: $100 | To Win: $1,114

Alternative Spreads: Boston Celtics -1.5 (-148)

This series has basically always felt destined for seven games. Both these squads can go on insane hot streaks as well as long stretches of lock-down defense. Steph Curry had been nuclear through four games, then he cooled off in Game 5 while Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins stepped up. As for the Celtics, they have been a rollercoaster – but we all know how well they have responded in must-win situations this postseason.

Most sportsbooks have Boston listed as -4 favorites. A few factors likely went into that number: the C’s aforementioned ability to respond to adversity; the raucous home-court atmosphere of the TD Garden; and the fact that none of the first five games in this NBA Finals have been decided by fewer than 10 points.

Still, we have concerns. The Celtics have been horrible in fourth quarters the entire series. They shot 4-of-15 in Game 5, and Luke Kornet was responsible for one of those four makes in the game’s final 1:19 of garbage time. In five total minutes in the series, Kornet now has five points – the same amount of clutch-time points that Jayson Tatum has. Not great.

Sorry, we went down a rabbit hole there. It just seems difficult to trust Boston with a late lead at this point. Sure, the Celtics can get out to a lead, but can they preserve it? I’m willing to bet Boston will survive and extend the series to the precious ratings monster known as the seventh game of the best-of-seven. However, I won’t bet that we’ll see a sixth-straight margin of victory in the double-digits. Nah, this game feels like it will be close toward the home stretch.

Thus, we shall buy some points. We don’t want to pay Boston’s moneyline cost at -166, but we also don’t want the Celtics to have to win by four for us to get the -114. The same-game parlay feature allows us to buy two points for just -34. Those extra two points of insurance only decreases our potential payout by $24!

Correlates well with: Race to Eight Points: Boston (-136)

Points: Al Horford Over 9.5 (-102)

Horford and the rest of the Celtics’ ancillary pieces have been remarkably quiet on the offensive end for two games now. The veteran big man might have turned back the hands of time against the Nets, Bucks, and Heat this postseason, but time looks like it caught back up since the ECF. Well, we have officially reached elimination game status, and Horford has a lot riding on this Finals. If Boston wins it all, Horford gets a massive bonus.

The reliable 36-year-old power forward saw his guaranteed contract jump from $14.5 million to $19.5 million when the C’s clinched the Eastern Conference Championship. It will jump another $7 million to $26.5 million guaranteed if he helps bring Banner 18 to the city of Boston.

Horford needs to put in an all-out effort Thursday or the Green Teamers are “goin’ fishin’ down the Cape.” Horford shot 9-of-12 for 26 points in Boston’s Game 1 victory in San Francisco, but he’s just 11-of-23 combined since that game. Amazingly, though, he has recorded points totals of 11, eight, and nine over the past three games. That’s just two total points shy of a 10-point average – I like our chances with Above-Average Al coming out and reaching double-digits this evening.

Correlates well with: Al Horford OVER 6.5 Rebounds (-250)

To Record 1+ Steal: Marcus Smart (-500)

Footage of Smart’s effort in elimination games should be played at all Junior Varsity basketball practices each year. The man just flat-out cares about winning, as cliché as that sounds. It might seem silly to bet a prop at -500 odds, but this leg actually pushes our potential payout from $906 to $1,114 – that’s significant! The Defensive Player of the Year should play a huge role tonight – he has 24 steals in 20 postseason games, including three combined over Boston’s past two Game 7s. This feels like a “free space” on your betting BINGO board.

Correlates well with: Jordan Poole UNDER 11.5 Points (-116)

Win Margin: Boston Celtics 1 – 10 (+175)

We already established that we like the Celtics this evening but not in a blowout. This custom-range margin-of-victory prop gives us the opportunity to sweeten our parlay considerably with the +175 odds while also falling into the overall narrative of our parlay. Each parlay should essentially tell a story you believe will unfold in the game in question. The Celtics have been strong in “must-win” situations this postseason, but the Warriors always seem to make Boston uncomfortable in the fourth quarter, so it just feels like this will be a Boston victory by single digits.

Correlates well with: Celtics 1st Quarter Spread -1.5 (-114)

Three Pointers Made: Stephen Curry Over 4.5 (-115)

Full disclosure: This leg might be the most volatile of the five in our SGP, but it pushes our potential payout from $544 to $1,114 if it hits. If you want to play it more conservatively and assemble a more attainable, lower-risk/lower-reward parlay, keep this prop off your bet slip. However, you should include it if you don’t mind a sweat-inducing $500 sweetener. Curry had 25 three-pointers through the first four games and then went 0-of-9 from distance in Game 5. He’s seven treys from his own record of 32 in an NBA Finals, which he set in 2016.

Curry has hit five or more three-pointers in 10 of Golden State’s 21 postseason games. In five of the 10 playoff games immediately following a contest with fewer than five Curry treys, he has bounced back to hit at least five. However, Boston focused heavily on making Curry’s life difficult beyond the arc in Game 5, forcing Golden State’s other offensive players like Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson, and Jordan Poole to step up. Will Boston clamp Curry down again Thursday?

It all boils down to this: This is basically an upside 50-50 prop – that’s why it’s paying us decently well if it hits – and we’re going primarily on Curry trying to make history and further cement his legacy as a generational GOAT. One suggestion: Make one $50 five-leg parlay with this prop, and make another $50 four-leg parlay without this prop. That would return $811 total if both parlays hit and $265 if only the four-legger hits. Even with parlays, you can hedge your bets.

Correlates well with: Curry Top Points Scorer (+130)

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