Will Tottenham finish top four? Spurs schedule and what they need to qualify for Champions League

Following a poor run of form, Tottenham had slipped further down the pecking order, as they look to finish in the top four of the Premier League and guarantee themselves UEFA Champions League qualification. As the calendar turned to May, that all changed.

The resounding 3-0 North London derby win over Arsenal took Tottenham’s league unbeaten run to four and pulled Spurs within a point of the fourth-placed Gunners with two matches remaining. While the club still need help from Arsenal to find a way through, the race is once again neck-and-neck.

Previously, Antonio Conte’s men had been inconsistent, losing four of five Premier League encounters to Chelsea, Southampton, Wolves, and Burnley through March and early April. Those unconvincing displays had led to Tottenham first-team players copping criticism from their supporters.

Of course, Spurs did manage to fashion a heroic performance to beat Manchester City before their loss at Turf Moor. However, their Italian coach has also questioned his own future at the club in a bizarre post-game interview in early April.

MORE: Premier League table, CL & relegation battles

Will Tottenham finish in the top four? Who do they still have to play?

With two matches remaining, there’s just a one-point gap between the only remaining clubs left in play for the final Champions League place.

Tottenham also holds the goal differential advantage, with a massive 12-goal gap between the two clubs, which could come into play if they finish level on points at the end of the season.

Place Team PTS GP GD Next Match Top 4 prob
3.* Chelsea 70 36 +42 vs. LEI, May 19 > 99%
4.* Arsenal 66 36 +11 @ NEW, May 16 54%
5. Tottenham 65 36 +23 vs. BUR, May 15 47%
6. Man United 58 37 +1 @ CRY, May 22  —
7. West Ham 55 36 +11 vs. MCI, May 15  —
8. Wolves 50 36 -3 vs. NOR, May 15  —
  • Total matches remaining: 2
  • Home matches: 1 – vs. Burnley
  • Away matches: 1 – at Norwich City

Tottenham fixtures remaining

Match Date Home/
Opponent Time (ET)
37 Sun, May 15 H Burnley 7:00 a.m.
38 Sun, May 22 A Norwich City 11:00 a.m.

Arsenal fixtures remaining

Match Date Home/
Opponent Time (ET)
37 Sat, May 16 A Newcastle 3:00 p.m.
38 Sun, May 22 H Everton 11:00 a.m.

With just two matches remaining, Tottenham fans will be bouyed by the idea that the final two fixtures are certainly easier for Spurs than they are Arsenal. A match against already relegated Norwich City is mouth-watering, but a game against Burnley, who are fighting for their Premier League lives, could be challenging. Both games are must-wins for Tottenham in this fight.

For Arsenal, Newcastle has shown improvement over the last few months and will present a tough challenge. Like Burnley for Spurs, Arsenal must take on Everton, a team firmly in the thick of a relegation battle. Any slip and Spurs could take over.

Tottenham’s record in the Champions League

Tottenham has enjoyed some success in Europe’s premier competition in recent seasons, reaching the final of the competition in 2018/19 under Mauricio Pochettino, before eventually being eliminated by winners Liverpool courtesy of goals from Mohamed Salah and Divock Origi.

Previously, Spurs also made the quarter-finals in 2011/12, whilst appearing in the semi-finals of the old European Cup in 1961/62.

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Since 2018/19, things haven’t been great for the North Londoners. The last time they were in the UEFA Champions League was 2019/20, crashing out in the Round-of-16 to German club RB Leipzig by an aggregate score of 4-0. Frustratingly, they only managed to qualify for the UEFA Europa League the year after, being humbled by Dinamo Zagreb in an embarrassing 3-2 scoreline over two legs. 

Fast forward to this season and they have fallen even further, bowing out in the inaugural launch of the UEFA Europa Conference League tournament. Put simply, the Lilywhites have regressed in Europe and will be keen to finish higher in the league table to avoid this fate becoming a familiar theme. 

Why Tottenham qualifying for the Champions League is important

There are many reasons why it is important for Spurs to qualify for the Champions League, not least the increased expectation from its own supporters to qualify for Europe regularly and compete for trophies.

Tottenham’s profile on the global stage has increased tenfold in the last decade, whereas the club has shelled out large fees on the likes of current squad members Davinson Sanchez and Steven Bergwijn to try and keep their trajectory on an upward spiral.

MORE: Tottenham tops West Ham as Kane-Son partnership flourishes

This ambition has been reflected in their movements off of the pitch, with the new 62,850 capacity Tottenham Hotspur Stadium costing around $1.34 billion in a move that grabbed attention across the globe.

Qualifying for the Champions League will also be a crucial factor of hanging on to their better players, with striker Harry Kane still being ‘monitored’ by Manchester City after their attempts to sign the England captain last summer, any move away would be detrimental to their forward planning as a club. Attracting quality new players to the club in the summer will also be far more difficult should they fail to finish fourth.

Ultimately, Spurs need to make sure they are in the hat for Europe’s premier trophy next season, or they risk falling behind their immediate rivals both domestically and on the continent. 

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