Ravens vs. Bengals: Best Same Game Parlay picks & player props for Sunday Night Football include Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon’s rushing prop bets

This weekend’s edition of “Sunday Night Football” figures to provide NFL bettors and fans with a tightly contested matchup that figures to come down to the wire. Joe Burrow and the reigning AFC champion Bengals hit the road after their most recent TNF win to face Lamar Jackson and the Ravens in prime time. As we’ve done in the past two weeks, we picked some of our favorite prop bets and put together a Same Game Parlay on Caesars Sportsbook that can spice up your Sunday night.

Despite the Bengals dominating the season series against the Ravens last year  (+44 point differential), the betting market thinks this year’s initial matchup is going to be a close one. The Ravens sit as three-point home favorites with a total of 47 points. If you’re not familiar with Same Game Parlays, SGPs allow bettors to string together a bunch of player, team, and game props into one parlay bet. While it’s certainly not a +EV wager, bettors who want to sweat out SNF and potentially cash a big ticket can have some fun crafting their own SGPs from a combination of various proposition markets.

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Let’s dive into our Week 5 Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay and attempt to make some cash in this AFC North clash to cap off the weekend!

All Same Game Parlay props are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.

Ravens vs. Bengals: Best Same Game Parlay picks & player prop bets for Sunday Night Football

Player/Team Prop Odds
Ravens -3 spread -120
Joe Burrow OVER 10.5 rushing yards -121
Joe Mixon OVER 59.5 rushing yards -123
Tee Higgins Longest reception UNDER 24.5 yards -117

Total SGP Odds (4 legs): +1400 | Bet: $50 | Total Payout: $750

Calais Campbell on the Baltimore Ravens

Ravens -3 (-120)

Baltimore has collapsed in their past two home games, blowing two 17-point leads and losing its past five home games dating back to last season. The Ravens were the first team to blow back-to-back 17-point leads at home since the Vikings accomplished that feat back in 2011 inside the Metrodome. Despite the Bengals getting back to .500 after starting the season 0-2, their offense has still looked shaky under Zac Taylor, and they haven’t been great at making in-game adjustments. Taking a glass-half-full approach, the fact Baltimore can build double-digit leads against some of the better teams in the NFL means they just need to put together a 60-minute performance. We think they’re able to do just that in prime time, securing a four-plus point victory this Sunday night.

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Joe Burrow 1-22 getty-ftr

Joe Burrow OVER 10.5 rushing yards (-121)

Everyone knows the Bengals offense has trouble against two-high shells, and it’s likely Mike Macdonald and his defense shows a heavy dose of those looks this week. By attempting to limit the big play and not letting the Bengals’ elite wide receivers beat you over the top, Joe Burrow is going to have to methodically drive the length of the field. One way to combat a two-high shell is by attacking the middle of the field, and given the struggles of the Bengals’ offensive line (16 sacks allowed through four weeks), Burrow could very well be forced into bailing out of the pocket and scrambling up the middle, resulting in him rushing for more than 11 total yards.

Joe-Mixon-110221-Getty-FTR

Joe Mixon OVER 59.5 rushing yards (-123)

Mixon has been ineffective to start the season, sporting a -15.7 EPA along with having the most stuffed runs (21), but he’s still being highly utilized. While he’s averaging just 14.3 fantasy points per game in PPR formats (16th among RBs), he leads all RBs in expected fantasy points per game (23.1) and weighted opportunities (86.9). Considering the Bengals currently average the seventh-most rushing attempts per game (29.3), we think Zac Taylor is going to once again lean on Mixon on early downs. Lastly, Mixon has popped just one breakaway run (carries of 15 or more yards), and there’s a good chance he adds to that number this week. Eclipsing 60 rushing yards is easily within reach.

Tee-Higgins-091122-GETTY-FTR

Tee Higgins longest reception UNDER 24.5 receiving yards (-117)

If Baltimore’s defense plays mostly in a two-high shell to limit the big play, there’s a good chance Tee Higgins’ longest reception is less than 25 yards. Given Higgins’ effectiveness (and Baltimore’s deficiencies) to begin the season, we don’t fault you for omitting this leg in your SGP, but we’re selling high on him this week. Through four games, Higgins’ longest reception has been under 25 yards twice (Weeks 1 and 2) while he’s hauled in a 45-yard and 59-yard catch in consecutive weeks. The Jets played a good deal of cover-two in Week 3, but their defense isn’t anything special. Additionally, showing a two-high shell isn’t in the Dolphins’ defensive DNA, which resulted in Higgins hauling in a 59-yard catch in Week 4. This week, we think Higgins will be held in check by the Ravens’ secondary.

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