As we embark upon Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season, it’s hard not to reflect on how unpredictable the betting landscape has been through the first couple weeks. We’ve seen unprecedented comebacks, thrilling scoring runs, wild upsets, and even a tie. Some of the best offenses of 2021 have looked utterly abysmal in the early-goings of 2022. Such a rollercoaster start to moneyline and spread betting gives many of us even more incentive to turn to prop betting, with same-game parlays and player props more popular than ever.
Every Thursday, I scour the player and game props on Caesars Sportsbook to find the best, most interesting, and most potentially-lucrative bets on the prop market. Whether they involve offense, defense, special teams, or general scoring, I always pluck out the props that pique the most intrigue and simultaneously yield the most value to bettors.
Let’s get right into our favorite Week 3 props, and make us some money in what should be another exciting roller-coaster of an NFL weekend!
MORE WEEK 3 NFL BETTING: Odds, lines, spreads | Best bets
All prop bets are from Caesars Sportsbook/William Hill.
NFL Betting: Best prop bets from every Week 3 game
Browns vs. Steelers (TNF): Jacoby Brissett OVER 0.5 interceptions (+108)
Cleveland emerged victorious in its Week 1 tilt over former QB Baker Mayfield 26-24, winning the interception battle 1-0. In Week 2, the Browns lost to the Jets 31-30, and Brissett’s interception halted what would have been a game-winning drive toward the end of the game. The veteran journeyman apparently played through an ankle injury in that final quarter, and now he gets the misfortune of the dreaded short week ahead of Thursday’s divisional clash with Pittsburgh. The Steelers are tied for the NFL lead with 2.5 interceptions per game, and winds in Cleveland are expected to reach over 20 miles per hour. This feels like a stone-cold lock with plus-odds as a cherry on top.
Bills at Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa OVER 0.5 interceptions (-121)
Tagovailoa was the talk of the league last week after he helped the Dolphins to an epic comeback in Baltimore, tossing a whopping six touchdown passes to beat the Ravens 42-38. It was like nothing we have ever seen from him before, and maybe something we will never see from him again. Despite the massive numbers, Tagovailua did throw two interceptions,, and he’s tossed at least one pick in four of his past six games. Buffalo’s defense is on a different stratosphere than Baltimore’s, so expect a massive crash back down to Earth for Tua Time in South Beach this weekend.
WEEK 3 NFL PICKS: ATS | Straight up
Eagles at Commanders: Jalen Hurts OVER 53.5 rushing yards (-117) and scores a TD (+121)
Hurts has been a man on fire this season, clearly mounting a breakout campaign now that stud receiver A.J. Brown has spruced up the Eagles passing game. Brown’s presence also means better field spacing for Hurts to do his thing via the ground game. The third-year QB has put up rushing totals of 90 yards and 57 yards, respectively, so far this season, and he now draws a Commanders defense that allowed the most rushing yards and second-most TDs to signal-callers in 2021. That Hurts!
Ravens at Patriots: Justin Tucker OVER 1.5 field goals (-109)
The Ravens put up 38 points last week at home against the aforementioned Dolphins, but they travel to Foxboro this Sunday to take on a disciplined Patriots defense. Last season, New England allowed just two rushing TDs to QBs while also ranking second in passing yards allowed and fourth in passing TDs allowed. The Pats have been similarly stingy this season, giving up the fewest rushing TDs, the fifth-fewest passing TDs, and the fourth-fewest total yards. They also have the third-best red-zone defense. Such prestigious defensive numbers typically translate to generous “opponent field goal” stats, and this is no exception. New England has allowed two made field goals in each of the first two games, tied for the fifth-most. The GOAT of kicking is a good bet here.
WEEK 3 NFL PICKS ADVICE: Pick ’em pools | Survivor Pools
Colts vs. Chiefs: Michael Pittman to score a TD (+130)
We get plus odds for the Pitt-boss this weekend, presumably because he missed last week due to a quad injury. It sounds like he’s all systems go this week and ready to pick up where he left off in Week 1. The third-year wideout was easily Matt Ryan’s favorite receiver in the veteran QB’s Indy debut, as the two connected on nine-of-13 targets for 121 yards and a TD. He has a good chance to find the end zone again at home versus a shaky Chiefs secondary. Kansas City has engaged in some early shootouts this season, clearly missing safety Tyrann Mathieu since he departed for New Orleans. Against a D surrendering 2.5 passing TDs per game, we love our chances of the Colts’ top-dog wideout finding paydirt.
Panthers vs. Saints: Baker Mayfield UNDER 206.5 passing yards (-117)
The Baker Mayfield experiment in Carolina has been a rollercoaster ride, to say the least, and judging by how many fantasy teams are trading top Panthers receiver D.J. Moore, the collective confidence level in the signal-caller seems to be pretty low. The stifling Saints D won’t help Mayfield’s cause. New Orleans held Tom Brady and the Buccaneers to just 188 passing yards last week in the Bayou. Sounds like a recipe for disaster for a young Baker.
Raiders at Titans: Davante Adams OVER 82.5 receiving yards (-123)
So many coaches and quarterbacks try to overcomplicate the game of football. In the end, don’t you want your best players to touch the ball the most to give you the best shot at winning each game? Just like we’ve been seeing with Austin Ekeler in L.A. and Kyle Pitts in Atlanta, Josh McDaniels and the Raiders barely got the ball in Davante Adams’ hands last week in a brutal loss to the Cardinals. Adams’ two touches went for just 12 yards, though he did find the end zone. Against a young and easily exploitable Titans secondary, QB Derek Carr should look Adams’ way early and often. Feed your friggin’ studs.
Lions at Vikings: Amon-Ra St. Brown longest reception OVER 22.5 yards (-113)
How can we stay away from the Sun God in this game? St. Brown has absolutely dominated out of the gates this season, picking up where he left off in 2021. He broke an NFL record last week when he logged his sixth consecutive game with eight catches and a TD. And he’s just 22! ARSB has receptions of 29 yards and 49 yards in each of his first two games this season. Here’s betting he’ll easily bag a 23-yarder in what should be a high-scoring game in Minnesota.
Bears vs. Texans: Dameon Pierce OVER 60.5 rushing yards (-129)
Pierce served as one of our breakout picks at running back all summer, and now that fall has arrived it’s time for the rookie to shine. He netted 100 percent of the Texans’ RB carries last week against the Broncos, turning 15 carries into 69 yards, and now he faces a Bears squad that ranks dead last in rushing yards surrendered (189.5 per game). It’s Dame time!
Joe Burrow UNDER 264.5 passing yards (-109)
Burrow has suffered through a brutal 0-2 start to the season, losing to Mitchell Trubisky and the Steelers and then Cooper Rush and the Cowboys. Now he must travel to the Meadowlands to face a Jets defense that has been surprisingly good against the pass, allowing just 216 air yards per game. Burrow managed just 199 yards against Dallas last week and had a handle of turnovers the previous week against Pittsburgh. In order for Cincinnati to prevail this weekend, he will need to limit mistakes and be efficient. The key to success for Joey Brr is not 400 yards — it’s 250 with two TDs and zero turnovers. Smash the UNDER here until Burrow gives us a reason to believe again.
Jaguars at Colts: Evan Engram OVER 3.5 receptions (-125)
Second-year Jags QB Trevor Lawrence has developed a solid rapport with Engram, the former standout Giants tight end. The two connected on seven-of-eight targets for 46 yards last week against Indy and on four-of-four targets the week prior in D.C. He seems like Lawrence’s security blanket, which means easy money against a Chargers front-seven that puts plenty of pressure on opposing pockets (alliteration for the win).
Packers at Buccaneers: Aaron Rodgers OVER 0.5 interceptions (+196)
No snazzy haircut will save Rodgers this weekend, as his struggles against Tampa Bay will more than likely continue against a dominant Bucs defense. The four-time MVP has some of his worst career numbers against Tampa: 59-percent completion rate, 74.4 QB rating, eight TDs and a whopping nine interceptions in five games. Good grief! Now he must go into the Raymond James’ pirates’ den without new Raider Davante Adams, his favorite receiver of the past five years? Yikes. We might see multiple Rodgers’ picks this weekend, so +178 seems like a golden egg.
Seahawks vs. Falcons: DK Metcalf OVER 5.5 catches (+118) and Tyler Lockett OVER 5.5 catches (+126)
Seahawks coach Pete Carroll alluded in a Monday afternoon press conference that he wants Geno Smith and the Seattle passing offense to open things up a bit, which should pay immediate dividends to Metcalf and Lockett. If forced to pick one, I’d go Metcalf since Smith sent way more targets to the big-bodied receiver last year than he did to the more finesse-friendly Lockett. Both these props will wind up in my same-game parlays this weekend.
Cardinals vs. Rams: Kyler Murray OVER 0.5 interceptions (-101)
The Rams own Kyler Murray, going 5-1 against him and picking him off six times. Pressure from Aaron Donald and company has been the main culprit, as L.A. has sacked the fourth-year QB 18 times for 149 yards. Murray only has one INT so far in 2022, but he’s never finished a full season with fewer than double-digits. Jalen Ramsey could come up with one this week, especially considering top Cardinals receiver DeAndre Hopkins is suspended. Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown is an A-list WR2, but a C- WR1.
49ers at Broncos (SNF): Jeff Wilson Jr. UNDER 56.5 rushing yards (-103)
Things may be starting a little slow for head coach Nathaniel Hackett, new QB Russell Wilson, and the Broncos offense, but Denver’s defense has actually been pretty damn good. The Broncos rank third in both scoring defense and total yards allowed, they have yet to allow a rushing touchdown, and they rank in the top five in both passing and rushing yards surrendered. If San Francisco wins this game, it will be thanks to Jimmy G and Deebo Samuel. If the Niners establish the run, Jordan Mason will be a large part of it. Wilson recorded 84 rushing yards last week against Seattle, but this Broncos D is night-and-day different from the Seahawks’ rushing D.
Cowboys at Giants (MNF): Alternate line Cowboys +3.5 (-184)
No player props for this one as of publication, so we’ll just update this when Caesars posts them. For now, we’ll bet on an alternate line by adding 2.5 points to the Cowboys’ handicap. This is a fun, easy way to get some insurance on a prime-time underdog without sacrificing too much potential profit. The Giants are the worst 2-0 team in sports, and the Cowboys actually looked better with Cooper Rush under center than they did with Dak Prescott prior to his thumb injury. I always like the underdog in national broadcasts, but I love Dallas here with a field-goal cover.
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