Soccer predictions, best bets today: Betting tips, expert picks for games on Monday, October 10

There are some interesting matches on Monday’s slate, including some compelling odds on offer. 

Fiorentina-Lazio should be an entertaining clash from Italy, and the odds on the in-form visitors are eye-catching.

Meanwhile, the Elche-Mallorca pits two relegation candidates that have shown a very different capacity for scoring goals.

Check out all our best bets below.

MORE: Sporting News soccer betting guide


Elche vs. Mallorca prediction, best bet

  • Best Bet: Mallorca to win
  • Odds: +155 (Caesars)
  • Prediction (Win/Draw): Mallorca

Elche are bottom of the La Liga table, largely due to their inability to score goals, with just three all season. The Mallorca attack isn’t a danger to the top La Liga sides, but it should be enough to get past the porous Elche back line.

As tempting as it is to take Mallorca to win to nil, the two times Elche have put up 1.0 xG or more have both come at home. The plus odds on the winner should be enough. — Kyle Bonn


Fiorentina vs. Lazio prediction, best bet

  • Best Bet: Lazio to win
  • Odds: +185 (on Caesars)
  • Prediction (Win/Draw): Lazio to win

Lazio are in spectacular form, winning three straight league matches by a combined 10-0, while Fiorentina are not, with just one league win in their last seven. The Lazio attack has been fantastic, but Fiorentina’s back line has played well of late.

Both teams to score is enticing in this match, but the Fiorentina attack is tough to trust. Instead, take Lazio to win, a surprising road underdog given these teams’ trajectories. — Kyle Bonn


Yesterday’s picks

Had Barcelona scored a couple of more goals — they had a 2.17 xG against Celta Vigo — Kyle would’ve had a perfect Sunday. The Barcelona -2 didn’t hit, but Arsenal winning did thanks to that Bukayo Saka penalty in the final quarter hour.

It was a similar day for Simon. After Leeds United took the lead at Crystal Palace, the double chance pick on the road team was looking strong, but Palace came back with two unanswered and ran out winners despite pretty even expected goal numbers 1.09 to 0.97. The other pick was a winner, but there were some nervy moments with Roma getting multiple chances late and failing to convert in a 2-1 win over Lecce.

Picks ✔️ or ❌
Arsenal to win vs. Liverpool
(Bonn, +155)
✔️
Barcelona -2 handicap vs. Celta Vigo
(Bonn, +132)
Roma win + Under 3.5
(Borg, -106)
✔️
Leeds double chance
(Borg, -135)

Soccer best bets records

Records below compiled since the first edition of this post on Monday, October 3.

  Kyle Bonn Simon Borg
Best Bets
(Won-Lost-Push)
33.3%
(5-10-0)
33.3%
(5-10-0)
Total Units
(+ Won / – Lost)
-2.14 -5.22
Match Predictions
(Correct picks)
73.3%
(11 of 15)
66.7%
(10 of 15)
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