Soccer predictions, best bets today: Betting tips, expert picks for games on Monday, October 17

Mondays aren’t full of matches, but there are a few games to pick from across both Europe and the Americas.

A pair of Italian matches take the field as Roma meet Sampdoria and Lecce host Fiorentina. There is a La Liga match between Villarreal and Osasuna as well, and that’s it for Big Five league action.

In the United States, the MLS playoffs wrap up the first round with NYCFC hosting Inter Miami and FC Dallas taking on Minnesota United. 

In the southern hemisphere, Santos is on the road in the Brazilian Serie A, visiting Red Bull Bragantino. Meanwhile, there’s a full slate of games in the Argentine league, with Estudiantes and Atletico Tucuman both taking the field.

Check out all our picks below. 

MORE:


Lecce vs. Fiorentina prediction, best bet

  • Best Bet: Lecce draw no bet
  • Odds: +165 (Caesars)
  • Prediction (Win/Draw): Lecce

Fiorentina are in a complete tailspin, and manager Vincenzo Italiano is hanging onto his managerial status by a thread. After being pummelled at home by Lazio last time out, Fiorentina now hit the road for a relegation battle with Lecce. The hosts are just the kind of plucky side that can put the nail in the coffin for Italiano, as they consistently overperform expectations based on in-game xG. — Kyle Bonn


NYCFC vs. Inter Miami prediction, best bet

  • Best Bet: NYCFC to win & both teams to score
  • Odds: +240 (on Caesars)
  • Prediction (Win/Draw): NYCFC to win

NYCFC are hitting their stride at just the right time, heading into the playoffs on a four-match winning streak. Their Brazilian attackers Talles Magno and Gabriel Pereira are in great form up front, connecting on the opener in the final regular season game against Atlanta United. Meanwhile, Inter Miami are playing with house money and Gonzalo Higuain has been unleashed since announcing his retirement. These two teams can both generate offense and concede chances at the other end. NYCFC is the better team, but it should be a barn-burner. — Kyle Bonn


Yesterday’s picks

Finding openings with plus odds can be an enormous boost.

Just one of Kyle’s three picks yesterday hit, but thanks to the plus odds on the return, the day resulted in a positive return.

Kyle nailed the El Clasico result, as Real Madrid topped Barcelona while both teams found the back of the net. It came down to the wire, but 

Picks ✔️ or ❌
Real Madrid to win vs. Barcelona & BTTS
(Bonn, +275)
✔️
Man City -1 Asian Handicap vs. Liverpool
(Bonn, +135)
Man City 1H highest scoring vs. Liverpool
(Borg, +210)

Soccer best bets records

Records below compiled since the first edition of this post on Monday, October 3.

  Kyle Bonn Simon Borg
Best Bets
(Won-Lost-Push)
37.5%
(12-20-0)
32.0%
(8-16-1)
Total Units
(+ Won / – Lost)
-2.34 -7.19
Match Predictions
(Correct picks)
56.7%
(17 of 30)
52.0%
(13 of 25)
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